Tag: Entry

It’s that time of year again! Gyms will be over-run with temporarily zealous fit freaks, and life-changing resolutions are declared around the world. With the New Year upon us, it is, in my opinion, important to cast some direction and intention over the year ahead, as well as use the natural tide of change that rises upon humanity this time of year to our favor.  Having said that, whether you are a new student with the fx365i, or one of our more seasoned students who wants to write a new chapter in their own history book this year, there are a handful of thoughts that I have had reflecting on the first 7 months of my trading career.

As the great Jim Rohn famously said, “any two years you can change your life forever.  18-20, 30-32, 68-70… Any two years.” To go along with these words he added, “for things to change, you have to change [and] for things to get better, you have to get better.”

I start with that thought because each of us arrived at the fx365institute with the belief that every successful entrepreneur has…

-a better future than their present

-has the absolute power to make it so

 

And with that, here are 7 things that will help you reach your goals:

#1) Why?

Before you start on your journey, take the time to have a clear and defined written explanation as to why you have chosen to take the time and energy to learn to successfully trade the forex. Of course the obvious answer is to make money, but the reason why is what is going to pull you through the frustrating times you will have. The stronger and clearer this reason is, the easier it will be to work through your inevitable shortcomings as a trader and remain solution oriented rather than obstacle focused.

 

#2) Do not measure your progress in pips.

The immediate trading cliché that didn’t take me long to realize is that in Forex trading “You either win or learn.”  As much as I would’ve liked to be a trading prodigy and had an alarming win rate from the beginning, the reality is that I learned almost nothing from a winning trade.  At no point that I can remember did I take a positive trade and dissect my own screen shot to figure out where I went wrong. You can practice bad behavior and in the short term you can be up, however the market will expose your mistakes, and it’s ok.  Instead measure yourself by the activities you are doing.  Study the Virtual Classroom, read the Forex book, engage daily in fxlive, take and archive your screen shots, your trading journal, learn what all of the basic signals are on your charts, and measure your progress off of how well you are doing those things.

 

#3) Have a realistic expectation for how long this is going to take

One of the immediate shortcomings that I had was that I felt like I had uncovered Pandora ’s Box when I learned about the way that the market works and how we trade alongside the market makers.  This caused me to believe this would insulate me from losing and that I would be well on my way right up the lot ladder fast.  Here’s what I would tell myself now.  Look at the lot ladder, get excited about the lot ladder. It’s real, and it’s not out of reach…however, before you get to start up it, you have to learn how to trade, so give yourself time. Cutty told me in our first conversation that he anticipated taking a year to learn to trade and a year to build up his trading account, which I promptly dismissed because admittedly, I’m young and overconfident. Turns out, from where I sit now, that’s not a bad business plan. Can it be done faster? Of course, but let’s get serious, there’s a reason Jim Rohn says, ‘any two years can change your life.’

 

#4) Be a good student.  

  • Shane & the Guth family have put an extraordinary amount of time, learning, trading and energy into creating the course content for the class we signed up for.  Take the time to read it.  Study it.  Pretend that you will be tested on it, and eventually be ready to teach it.  Shane is thoughtful, smart, and efficient.  If it isn’t relevant to your goal of trading the markets competently and consciously, it has been weeded out.  To disregard or overlook the course content is a disservice to yourself.  Watch Wade’s videos repeatedly.
  • Do your trading log. Every trade. If there is a silver bullet, it’s this combined with your own personal screenshots as well as your weekly progress report.
  • Take them and archive them.
  • Analyze your own trading.  It won’t take you that long to start understanding the majority of the important information that the charts show us, but it may take a while to understand what actions you are taking based off of that information.  It’s not always clear in the moment but it almost always is in hindsight.  Plan, do, Review.
  • Show Up Consistently with a good attitude.  Ira happens to be not only one of our great instructors but a great trader. When I asked Steve about Ira, he told me that “Ira has been relentlessly consistent at this…” Doesn’t seem like a coincidence to me.
  • Find a battle buddy.  The community at the institute is one of the most amazing things about it, and there are people of every age, background, and level of student that you could want.  Meet the people, interact daily on fxlive and roll up your sleeves and jump in… Like anything I’ve been a part of, you get what you put in.
  • Read the books!  ‘The Forex Mindset” is a tremendous resource as is another book called “Mindset”. Treat these books biblically during your tenure as a student.  Review them, re-review them.  Each time I have read ‘The Forex Mindset,’ I have gathered different insight and in some cases understood things I had already read differently.
  • The Traders Cog is real.  When I first saw the traders cog, I decided I was just going to skip it.  As it turns out, I’m 31 weeks in and right on schedule.  Maybe you can skip it, but if you don’t, some smart people that have been down this road made it up… and it’s pretty accurate.

 

#5) You will probably ask yourself all of these questions…

  • Am I ever going to get this? Yes
  • Does anybody actually make money consistently at this? Yes ( a lot do)
  • Are we sure this Market Makers thing is real? Yes
  • Is this a total pipe dream? No
  • Am I destined to be one of the failed 95% of retail traders? No
  • Am I wasting my time? No you have a current plan for financial freedom that’s working? If no, then no
  • Are there real fx365i students who have learned how to do this and are profitable? Yes
  • If people are doing so well how come no one talks about money? Because its the skill set you’re after.  If you can consistently pull pips for profit, you can get free financially.

 

#6) Play to Win

There is a saying that says ‘if you mess up once it’s a mistake, if you mess up the same thing a second time, it’s a decision.’

While it’s likely in your trading you will make the same mistake more than once, make the commitment to yourself to understand the mistakes your making, take a pro-active approach to each step of your trading.  Analyze, discuss, review, try again and dig in… Anything that can deliver the leverage and exponential returns the way that successfully trading the forex can is going to be a challenge, and of course is going to be worth it.

 

#7) Have Faith

‘The difference between belief and faith’

Years ago there were two friends.  One day one of the friends decided he wanted to do something exciting, so he took up tight rope walking.  After practicing for months and months walking carefully back and forth on a line strung feet above the ground, he began to feel the urge to accomplish something spectacular.  He began to craft an exhibition where he would walk a stretched cable between two rooftops, high enough that if he fell it would result in death.  To make his feat all the more impressive, he decided that he would not only walk the tight rope, but he would push a wheelbarrow across it with him.

He practiced and practiced while his friend watched on, impressed with his determination and relentlessness.  After perfecting the stunt over and over again and arranging for the big day and exhibition, the time had finally come.

The two friends stood atop the skyscraper eyeing the cable stretched tight between the rooftops.  Time seemed to stand still.  The sound of chatter amongst the crowd standing below, although constant, faded away to the ears of the two men.

In the final moment as the tight rope walker draped his feet over the cable and steadied his grip on the wheelbarrow handles, the friend was faced with the choice of belief, or faith.   His belief led him to have the utmost confidence that his friend would complete the exhibition, but it was his faith, that caused him to get in the wheelbarrow.

 

In closing, have faith in the journey, the frustrations you will face, the institute, and yourself.  Have fun, and in a few years when you are living your ‘Why’, look back on this time as a distinct moment where you went for it 100%…

 

Payton Parnegg

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Well it’s 2016, and another year has gone by. New Years resolutions have begun, gym memberships are sky rocketing and everyone is motivated to become more fit, drop a bad habit, pick-up a new hobby, or set new budgets. Although I have never been convinced that the dawn of a new year gives you any advantage of actually accomplishing any goal, what I do believe is that by writing out your goal on paper and establishing a date, will give you a much better chance of completing it.

One thing I have looked at for myself in the past couple years is a specific Money Management philosophy in my trading. At the end of each year, I take stock of how well (or horribly) I have traded for the year and make sure that my strategy is sound and still valid. This is an exercise I wish I learned my first day trading because it would have not only made me more money, but it would have substantially mitigated a good percent of my total losses in my first year. So what I am going to share with you now is a very simple philosophy I follow that has helped my trading massively.

Money Management

The difference between a new trader and a professional trader is this: A new trader thinks about how much money they can make, while a Professional Trader thinks about how much money they can lose. Do you see the difference? The moral of this story is that trading is risky, and although it is fun to think about all of the money you could potentially make, most new traders seldom like to think about the fact that one bad day of trading can cut their account in half, or how a misunderstanding in risk reward ratio can lead to taking far greater losses than positive gains. The market doesn’t care about how much money I have, what I lose or what I win. The market itself is pure and emotionless, but is driven by the emotions and beliefs of the people who participate in it.

This allows me to have a clear advantage over most traders if I can follow these simple rules while trading:

  1. Never risk more than 5% of my total account balance at any time
  2. Identify Profit target and risk out before getting in to any trade ever
  3. Never trade without a stop loss
  4. Use 1:2 risk/reward ration

(I will explain these concepts now)

  1. Never risk more than 5% of your account Balance!

This is very simple math and this will keep you from not only having a really bad day trading, but also helps prevent you from biting off more than you can chew. It answers a very simple question of what lot size should I be trading? Here is an Example:

If I have an account balance of $1,000, then 5% of that is $50. So, if I am trading a lot size equating to $1, then a -50 pip stop out would reduce my account by 5%. This means that the most I am ever willing to lose on any one trade is 5% of my total account. Now I am not advocating take a -50, but you get the idea. The dollar figure and lots size is proportional to your account balance.

  1. Identify Profit Target and Risk Out before getting in to any trade ever!

This is the mark of a professional trader and for me, this was a huge milestone in my personal trading. In order to understand what my risk and profit target is getting in to a trade I needed to really understand how the market works. When I can comprehend what I am looking at on my screen and I can say to myself (or anyone else) “this is good entry because….. and as a result of this I will know this trade is behaving when it does X and I will know it’s time to dump it if it does X,” then I am on my way to making some money in FOREX. This is how you make money. There is no luck involved. It comes down to being able to identify a trade set up and being able to pull the trigger. In actuality, this is the easy part. Let’s talk about where things really get hard…

  1. Never Trade Without a Stop-Loss

If I am trading from a place of indifference all the time, why would I ever need to run a stop-loss? The answer is that we are a human beings and no matter how emotionally stable we think we are there will come a day where the market spins you out and makes you feel like you know NOTHING about trading. Any long time traders know this to be true, no one is immune from taking losses. The mark of a true professional is how clever we can be, and gracefully we can lose (I’ll cover this in the next section). To protect ourselves from ourselves, we need to preset a stop-loss when going into any trade that is automatically set the moment I click in. It is there to serve as a safety net to ensure that my emotions will not get the best of me in the event that things go wrong, which they will.

  1. Using a 1:2 Risk / Reward Ratio

As I mentioned above when explaining the importance of a stop-loss, the next logical question is “what should my stop-loss be.” For me I use a 1:2 risk reward ratio. I will explain how this works. If my target PIP goal is 50 pips, then my stop should be set to -25. This way if I am making smart trades and my win Ratio is 50%, then I am profitable in my account. I’ll give you this analogy: If you flip a coin, you have a 50/50 chance of calling it correctly. Simple right? Trading should be no different and here is why: If I am only winning 50% of the time but I make 50 pips every time I am correct and lose on half that (-25) when I am wrong, then over a long period of time I am going to remain profitable in my account. This is what I meant when I was referring to losing cleverly and gracefully. Obviously, I don’t advocate blindly trading your account but I love the simplicity of this because you can become a profitable trader with a 50% win rate! Awesome.

Conclusion

An experienced trader trusts their methodology. If any strategy is going to be successful, you need to give it enough time to work. In the first year for me, it was all about gaining experience and trying not to lose money in my account. Every year after that has not become about how much money I can make, but about how little I am going to lose. My experience has shown me that the more I can depend on high probability averages (like a 50% win/loss rate on my trade) and trust them to be true, the more confident I become in the methodology. When a trader combines a sound methodology with experience, and solid foundation in Money Management and risk mitigation, then you are well on your way to becoming a Professional Currency trader.

Happy 2016!

Steve Wolf

Director of Enrollment

FX365 Institute.

 

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One of the rules I have for entering a trade is, “I understand the set up for the trade that I am about to enter.”  Despite this rule, I realize that I have never taken the time to actually write down exactly what those trade set-ups and entries look like on the SMP platform.  Wow, that’s pretty shocking.  How have I not done this yet?  I should be doing this on an ongoing basis.  So that settles it: my mission over the coming days and weeks is to specifically write, diagram, and (hopefully!) screen-shot successful trades that exemplify exactly what I’m looking for in trades.  My hope and belief is that as I write out more and more of these set-ups, I will recognize them better when I see them, I will stay OUT of trades that don’t fit the criteria, my approach towards each of the trades will be refined, and my overall trading will improve dramatically.  Today I am just going to start with one very simple trade.

Disclaimer: This blog only represents my opinion.  Although my opinions are based on what I have learned at Fx365i, none of this necessarily represents the official views of the institute.

Bounce Off Average Price:

  • Entry:
    • When this trade works out, it can lead to awesome trades.  Very simply, if price has moved significantly away from an accumulation area and then reaches a larger average price line, if it appears to be bouncing cleanly off that average price, I believe you must GET IN QUICKLY!
    • If you wait too long, and the bounce is aggressive, then all of a sudden there are 15 or 20 pips of risk.  To use our bus stop analogy, if you get on quickly, you’re along for the ride.  If you wait too long, you’re either a) going to take a big dumb risk and try and jump on the back bumper of the bus (chase the trade), or b) get left at the bus stop sucking fumes as the bus takes off.
    • One key to entering this trade is keeping up with measuring.  It is not every day that we see a perfect 90 pips between the dot on the hour that price just rotated off and an average price line.  More frequently, we will be somewhere in the 90 pip ballpark.  Maybe we’ve only run about 82-85 from the dot, but if you measure from the high to the average price, it’s 108 pips.
    • As such, I believe that once we’ve run 90’ish pips and are possibly getting an exact bounce off average price, you can’t hesitate to get in.  The worst case scenario is to take a small negative (stop should be no more than roughly a pip off average price).  If you have 5 pips of risk vs a 30 pip profit target, that’s an outstanding 6:1 ratio.  On top of that, a clean bounce off average price can often result in a much larger run, so you may even have better than a 6:1 ratio.  Pretty awesome!
  • Exit:
    • I’m trying to refine my technique for when to exit this trade.  The image above is shows a trade I was in recently where I got solid entry off average price.  I got in 4 pips from the bottom (which was exactly at average price).  My current rule is that if it doesn’t give me a strong initial bounce, then if I see a small positive, I’m getting out.  On that trade, I took a +5 because price did not move much for the first couple of minutes after I entered the trade. Then, on the same 5 minute candle, the trade ran 20+ pips.  After an 11 pip breath to begin the next candle, price pushed up to the point where I could have taken a 40+ pip trade (in less than 10 minutes) based on my entry.
    • One reason I got out quickly on this trade was because we had already tested that same daily average price 1 day earlier.  This made me believe we might be ready to blow through it this time.
  • Refinement:
    • One reason why I’m somewhat willing to get out with these small positives is I’m concerned about the market just taking a minuscule breath and then smashing hard through average price before breathing back.
    • On one hand, I need to realize that if we have run 90 and are now hitting a significant average price, there is a great chance we will see at least a 30 pip breath. As I mentioned earlier, a 6:1 or better reward to risk ratio is incredible.
    • On the flip side, from an overall money management viewpoint, if I end up taking a fair number of +5’s along with a few -5’s – and put those together with the occasional +30 or more, that’s a long-term winning recipe.
    • I have to admit though, it’s really stinks to get out of a trade just to watch it run straight to my profit target 30 or 60 pips away when I hadexcellent entry into the trade.
    • I’m trying to decide whether it’s better to a) play it more conservatively by taking the little +5’s and dealing with the risk that I’m about watch the market run 60 pips in my direction, or b) be more aggressive and let the trades play out while sticking my stop right under the average price so that I KNOW that I was wrong in the trade. I would take more negatives, but I would also see more 20+ pip trades.  I’m really torn on figuring out which way to play this.

Well, “Bounce off Average Price” is the first trade I have mapped out like this.  Hopefully there will be several more to come over the coming weeks.  As always, all traders’ thoughts and comments are tremendously appreciated.  Please feel free to contact me at pipaddict73@gmail.com – I’d love to hear from you.

 

-Cyrus Sidhwa

Fx365i Student

Smart Money Profile Trader

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In time, the four hour work week can be a reality for professional Forex currency traders, especially Forex365 Institute graduates.

Yes, the Forex365 Institute’s Market Maker Course supports a PIP business owner’s goal of capturing 50+ PIPs a week—a number that will allow strong and steady trading account growth and the rise of your PIP value to $100 and beyond.

Imagine, whether you’re an employee or a business owner, reducing your weekly work hours from forty  to sixty or more, down to fifteen (as a Forex365 Institute student), and then down to four (as a seasoned, veteran professional Forex currency trading Forex365 Institute graduate).

The four hour work week concept is simple—exclusively trade high news where we normally expect the most price action volatility and movement.  With smart (emotionally intelligent),  high probability trades using the full complement of Smart Money Profile tools (the Market Maker Course software package), capturing 50+ PIPs a week is exceedingly doable for all disciplined, responsible and determined (never day die—failure is not an option) students.

In the image above, my five-minute chart shows an example of high news trading.  In this case, it was on Wednesday, August 19, 2015 at 11:00 am PST—Federal Reserve FOMC meeting/minutes release.

I did five trades over the course of about two and a half hours.  The first three trades were shorts and the last two trades were long.  A quick summary of the five trades follows:

  1. This trade came before the news when the fifteen-minute chart printed a manipulation wick long and a turn short avoiding taking out a blue liquidity line.
  2. This trade came after a breath on the five-minute chart, also short and before the news hit.
  3. This trade came after the news hit and the momentum was still short—I exited as the price action approached a set of net lines.
  4. Now, the aftermath of the news shows the price action settling down and I took a quick long as the price action continued to move away from the same set of net lines mentioned in trade 3.
  5. This last trade (long) came after the price action moved away from a grid line and back through a five-minute chart dot.

The trading consisted of five trades for a total of 113 PIPs in a two and a half hour time frame.  To me, this is the ultimate in PIP business ownership as a professional Forex currency trader.  I still have a ways to go to do this consistently, but I’m on my way.  The good news is that this is available to all my fellow instructors and students at the Forex365 Institute.

 

-Ira Barnes

Fx365i Instructor

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Having goals in life and in trading improves your chances of success by creating direction, motivation and focus. However, goals can be ineffective or even hurtful if made carelessly. We students all have the “goal” to be financially free. I would venture to say that most people want to be free but because each of us has made it our “goal”, we joined FX365I. Our goal gave us the mandate (direction) to find some way to gain more income than we currently do. Because of the possibilities that financial freedom can bring (travel, less stress, security, etc.) we are motivated to invest time and energy. Again, most people probably want financial freedom but if it’s not a goal they let the cares of life distract them; they lose focus and end up making no progress.

But can goals be ineffective or even worse, hurtful? Let’s take a hypothetical example of the average Joe who wants to get in shape. He begins by lifting dumbbells every day. After a while he looks in the mirror and isn’t happy with the results. So he adds some push-ups and sit-ups to his routine. A while later, he looks in the mirror and again is not happy. So he joins a gym and goes there when he can. Finally when he doesn’t see the results he was hoping for, he gives up. You can see that his goal of getting in shape was an ineffective goal.  This experience could discourage him from ever trying to get in shape again.

Let’s take a look at the acronym SMART for some help.

  • S stands for Specific. The term “in shape” is very general. How about, “My goal is to lose 50 lbs and have six pack abs.” This creates a better picture in your mind of what achieving your goal will look like.
  • M stands for measurable. Can you see how stepping on the scale every week might point our Joe to making changes in his diet?
  • A stands for attainable. Attainability refers to limits of nature. Joe’s body type may not be capable of a 32” waist.
  • R stands for realistic. Losing 50 lbs. may be attainable for Joe…but not by next week.
  • T stands for timely. When you put a time frame around your goals, you’ve set your unconscious mind into motion to begin working on the goal.* It creates a sense of urgency.

Here are my goals for the next 3 weeks: 1) only trade if I have measured and believe that the “bus stop” is logical. 2) Make less than 10 trades a week 3) only enter a trade if I know my risk out. Are these smart goals?

Specific? – Very.

Measurable? – check.

Attainable? – Definitely.

Realistic? – If I’m disciplined.

Timely? – 3 weeks.

These 3 goals are based on advice from fellow students and instructors that I believe will help me achieve my goal of becoming a master trader.

In my next post I will share how I’ve used goals (and a more important aspect of goals) to achieve success in my life and how I have used the same system to improve my trading.

*http://topachievement.com/smart.html

 

-Todd Carson

Fx 365i Student

todd.carson@fx365i.com

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